Stephen Curry has averaged 29 points per game in 17 games against LeBron James since 2021-22, 2.5 points above his usual 26.5 in those seasons.
Fair odds = the price where this hit rate breaks even, with no bookmaker margin. A better price than this is value, if the sample holds.
| Date | Opp | Result | James P-R-A | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 25 | @ LAL | W 123-116 | 33-5-9 | 34 | 37 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10-21 | 4-11 | 13-14 |
| 6 Feb 25 | @ LAL | L 112-120 | 42-17-8 | 37 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13-35 | 6-20 | 5-5 |
| 25 Jan 25 | vs LAL | L 108-118 | 25-5-12 | 32 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-17 | 2-9 | 3-4 |
| 25 Dec 24 | vs LAL | L 113-115 | 31-4-10 | 36 | 38 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14-24 | 8-15 | 2-2 |
| 9 Apr 24 | @ LAL | W 134-120 | 33-7-11 | 32 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7-9 | 6-6 | 3-4 |
| 16 Mar 24 | @ LAL | W 128-121 | 40-8-9 | 34 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12-24 | 3-10 | 4-5 |
| 27 Jan 24 | vs LAL | L 144-145 | 36-20-12 | 43 | 46 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17-35 | 9-21 | 3-3 |
| 12 May 23 PO | @ LAL | L 101-122 | 30-9-9 | 39 | 32 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11-28 | 4-14 | 6-6 |
| 10 May 23 PO | vs LAL | W 121-106 | 25-9-3 | 39 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12-24 | 3-11 | 0-0 |
| 8 May 23 PO | @ LAL | L 101-104 | 27-9-6 | 42 | 31 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12-30 | 3-14 | 4-4 |
| 6 May 23 PO | @ LAL | L 97-127 | 21-8-8 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9-21 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| 4 May 23 PO | vs LAL | W 127-100 | 23-7-3 | 30 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| 2 May 23 PO | vs LAL | L 112-117 | 22-11-4 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10-24 | 6-13 | 1-1 |
| 18 Oct 22 | vs LAL | W 123-109 | 31-15-8 | 33 | 33 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10-22 | 4-13 | 9-9 |
| 5 Mar 22 | @ LAL | L 116-124 | 56-10-3 | 36 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13-22 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| 12 Feb 22 | vs LAL | W 117-115 | 26-15-8 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7-17 | 1-8 | 9-9 |
| 19 Oct 21 | @ LAL | W 121-114 | 34-11-5 | 36 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5-21 | 2-8 | 9-9 |
| Average | 17 games | 8-9 | 31.5-10-7.5 | 35.9 | 29 | 5.1 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 44.8% | 36.5% | 92.6% |
| Curry | Curry usual | +/- | James | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 309 | 17 | |
| Team record | 8-9 | 187-122 | 9-8 | |
| Points | 29 | 26.5 | +2.5 | 31.5 |
| Rebounds | 5.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 10 |
| Assists | 6.8 | 5.9 | +1.0 | 7.5 |
| Threes | 4.2 | 4.6 | −0.3 | 2.9 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 1.0 | +0.2 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 3.0 | +0.1 | 3.1 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 40.9 | 37.4 | +3.5 | 49 |
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.7% | −0.9 | 53.1% |
| 3P% | 36.5% | 40.0% | −3.5 | 42.6% |
| Minutes | 35.9 | 33.8 | 38 |
A game counts when both played, on opposite teams. Regular season and playoffs since 2018-19.
Regular season and playoff games from official box scores. Season-long numbers are regular season unless you ask for the playoffs.