Chet Holmgren has averaged 10.8 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.2 assists in his last 5 games against Victor Wembanyama. Wembanyama averaged 23 points in those games, and the Thunder went 2-3.
Fair odds = the price where this hit rate breaks even, with no bookmaker margin. A better price than this is value, if the sample holds.
| Date | Opp | Result | Wembanyama P-R-A | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 26 | @ SAS | W 116-104 | 12-13-3 | 31 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 |
| 30 May 26 PO | vs SAS | L 103-111 | 22-7-2 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 |
| 28 May 26 PO | @ SAS | L 91-118 | 28-10-2 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| 26 May 26 PO | vs SAS | W 127-114 | 20-6-1 | 30 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 |
| 24 May 26 PO | @ SAS | L 82-103 | 33-8-5 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 |
| Average | 5 games | 2-3 | 23-8.8-2.6 | 28.8 | 10.8 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 0 | 0.8 | 2 | 1.8 | 48.6% | 0.0% | 83.3% |
| Holmgren | Holmgren usual | +/- | Wembanyama | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 85 | 5 | |
| Team record | 2-3 | 68-16 (84 of 85) | 3-2 | |
| Points | 10.8 | 16.7 | −5.9 | 23 |
| Rebounds | 8.4 | 8.8 | −0.4 | 8.8 |
| Assists | 1.2 | 1.6 | −0.4 | 2.6 |
| Threes | 0 | 1.2 | −1.2 | 2 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 0.7 | +0.1 | 1.6 |
| Blocks | 2 | 1.8 | +0.2 | 3.2 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 1.5 | +0.3 | 2.8 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 20.4 | 27.0 | −6.6 | 34.4 |
| FG% | 48.6% | 55.7% | −7.2 | 38.4% |
| 3P% | 0.0% | 36.0% | −36.0 | 33.3% |
| Minutes | 28.8 | 29.3 | 34.6 |
A game counts when both played, on opposite teams. Regular season and playoffs since 2018-19.
Regular season and playoff games from official box scores. Season-long numbers are regular season unless you ask for the playoffs.