Chet Holmgren has averaged 12.4 points per game in 16 games against Victor Wembanyama since 2023-24, 3.8 points below his usual 16.2 in those seasons.
Fair odds = the price where this hit rate breaks even, with no bookmaker margin. A better price than this is value, if the sample holds.
| Date | Opp | Result | Wembanyama P-R-A | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 26 | @ SAS | W 116-104 | 12-13-3 | 31 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 |
| 30 May 26 PO | vs SAS | L 103-111 | 22-7-2 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 |
| 28 May 26 PO | @ SAS | L 91-118 | 28-10-2 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| 26 May 26 PO | vs SAS | W 127-114 | 20-6-1 | 30 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 |
| 24 May 26 PO | @ SAS | L 82-103 | 33-8-5 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 |
| 22 May 26 PO | @ SAS | W 123-108 | 26-4-3 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| 20 May 26 PO | vs SAS | W 122-113 | 21-17-6 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 |
| 18 May 26 PO | vs SAS | L 115-122 | 41-24-3 | 41 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| 13 Jan 26 | vs SAS | W 119-98 | 17-7-1 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 |
| 25 Dec 25 | vs SAS | L 102-117 | 19-11-2 | 31 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| 23 Dec 25 | @ SAS | L 110-130 | 12-5-3 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 13 Dec 25 | @ SAS | 22-9-2 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 10-12 | |
| 30 Oct 24 | vs SAS | W 105-93 | 6-8-2 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| 29 Feb 24 | @ SAS | L 118-132 | 28-13-7 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 |
| 24 Jan 24 | @ SAS | W 140-114 | 24-12-4 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| 14 Nov 23 | vs SAS | W 123-87 | 8-14-2 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 |
| Average | 16 games | 8-7 | 21.2-10.5-3 | 29.6 | 12.4 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 48.9% | 31.6% | 82.1% |
| Holmgren | Holmgren usual | +/- | Wembanyama | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 233 | 16 | |
| Team record | 8-7 (15 of 16) | 173-58 (231 of 233) | 7-9 | |
| Points | 12.4 | 16.2 | −3.8 | 21.2 |
| Rebounds | 7.3 | 8.3 | −1.0 | 10.5 |
| Assists | 1.6 | 1.9 | −0.3 | 3 |
| Threes | 0.8 | 1.4 | −0.6 | 1.6 |
| Steals | 0.6 | 0.7 | −0.1 | 1 |
| Blocks | 1.6 | 2.1 | −0.5 | 2.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.1 |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 21.4 | 26.4 | −5.0 | 34.7 |
| FG% | 48.9% | 52.7% | −3.8 | 45.1% |
| 3P% | 31.6% | 35.5% | −3.9 | 37.9% |
| Minutes | 29.6 | 29.4 | 31.9 |
A game counts when both played, on opposite teams. Regular season and playoffs since 2018-19.
Regular season and playoff games from official box scores. Season-long numbers are regular season unless you ask for the playoffs.